Hot constituencies: Will NPP lose these Parliamentary seats to NDC in 2020 Election?


I am setting the ball to roll for a good discussion on some hot and swing constituencies in the country. Well, as the question suggest, will NPP loosen their belts for NDC to take these 15 constituencies they had supremacy over?

The elections are getting nearer and the political elephants in the country may be looking at their weaknesses and their strengths in other to make strategic plans for their campaigns.

My focus is on swing constituencies which truly is a swing but NDC has won such seats before more than the NPP according to history. These are some of the constituencies which greatly helped NPP to win even though the numbers from there were meagre. There are 275 constituencies in the country and the one who gets more becomes the winner having the majority.

Let’s observe these particular 15 parliamentary seats, I think if the NPP do not hold tight and intensify their approach they may end up losing these particular seats, even if not all, it can be part which may not look good to the party.

Abura/Asebu/Kwamankese Constituency.

Abura Constituency is in the Central Region, Abura Constituency currently is in the hand of NPP. NPP took the seat from NDC in the 2016 elections, NPP had a total of 22,245 which represented 50.65% while the NDC had 20,508 which represented 46.69%. You can see that the gap is not all that wide. DC has won this particular seat four times in our political history that makes it very interesting and the reason why it is likely they might take it back. In 1996, 200, 2008 and 2012 are the elections years NDC held power in this particular constituencies. In 2004 the NPP won the seat, this makes it a very hot cake and interesting area for the NDC, they will do everything possible to make sure they take back such a seat from the NPP. Election 2020 will tell what will befall in this particular constituency, will NPP lose it to NDC or they will hold it?

Adenta Constituency

Adenta Constituency is in the Greater Accra Region and NPP won this particular seat in 2016. They had a total votes of 33,952 which represents 50.65% while NDC had 32,588 which represents 46.61%. This seat is also a swing hot seat. However the possibility that NDC will take it back is high due to voting history. NDC has won this seat for two good times. It was created in 2004 and NPP won in that year, in 2008 and 2012 the NDC won it back and lost it 2016. That makes 2/1 so if NPP win this year it becomes 2/2. This has made it a very hot cake and NDC has interest to win the seat back again.

Atebubu/Amanting Constituency

This constituency is in the Brong Ahafo Region, as it is, it stands as a swing and hot area. NPP won this seat in 2016 elections with total votes of 19,218 which represents 50.85% and NDC lost with 18,151 which represents 48.02%, the difference is not large from the results and anything can happen in 2020 elections. Let’s look at the history, it was created in 2004 and from 2004 to 2012 NDC held that seat. They were those in charge of that seat until 2016 NPP won it from them, well I think NDC will not sit aloof during this particular 2020 elections, it was one of their targeted seats to win back, their chance of winning it back is high.

Awutu Senya West Constituency

Awutu Senya has been won four times by the NDC, NPP has won two times. They won in 2016, from history NDC has upper hand than the NPP, and it is highly possible they might lose it to the NDC. In 2016 NPP won with a total votes of 52.72% while the NDC had 46.87%.

Dade Kotopon Constituency

Dade is another constituency I fear the NDC might take it back if NPP do not hold their balls. They won it from NPP in 2016. Let’s look at the image to observe the history and facts. NDC has upper hand of winning it back.

Dormaa West

Dormaa west can be won back by the NDC, it is a hot area and NDC had the supremacy, it was created in 2012 and NDC won, NPP won it from them in 2106, in 2020 it will be a battle to decide who is strong for the constituency.

Ekumfi Constituency

I will spare you all the details and give you the summary images of this analyses for the rest.

Gomoa west Constituency

Take your time and study the data below

Jomoro Constituency

Krachi east

Lawra Constituency

Madina Constituency

Mfantseman Constituency

Nalerigu Constituency

Nanton Constituency

New Edubiase Constituency

Saboba Constituency

Zebilla Constituency

Sefwi Akontombra Constituency

Looking at the data, history and facts, will NDC win these seats back or NPP will retain them? These are constituencies that NDC has upper hand due to the fact that they have retained much seats in those areas than NPP. If NPP lose sight, they may lose, NPP and NDC should play their game well, however these 15 constituencies are highly in favour for NDC to win. So I am asking, will NPP lose these 15 seats to NDC in 2020 or they will retain them?

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